Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.922788 4.392903 4.903803 5.501360 6.182479 6.936244 7.835746
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.279901 3.907435 4.638619 5.557655 6.687720 8.039223 9.788926
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.864087 3.570148 4.436188 5.584964 7.081222 8.980989 11.602770
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.503012 3.232979 4.165383 5.456542 7.218276 9.567190 12.985061
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.260697 3.010294 4.001770 5.427006 7.452617 10.272920 14.576184
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.056651 2.812163 3.842404 5.372947 7.628496 10.893327 16.093797
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.970306 2.764061 3.878974 5.589533 8.202052 12.132474 18.669500
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.833414 2.629266 3.776005 5.585271 8.436186 12.873691 20.543124
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.704204 2.493262 3.656912 5.540465 8.595093 13.502224 22.293924
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.526052 2.269332 3.386508 5.233358 8.300696 13.359633 22.701221
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.445878 2.188721 3.328713 5.257484 8.546434 14.132039 24.801274
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.403820 2.163711 3.354765 5.418211 9.033355 15.361577 27.883258
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.336850 2.096068 3.310256 5.462010 9.331424 16.306341 30.591489
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.273387 2.029517 3.262319 5.495317 9.613543 17.252334 33.436009
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.213862 1.964911 3.212092 5.518783 9.877383 18.188569 36.387080
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.133760 1.859861 3.084787 5.391550 9.843081 18.538794 38.139487
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.076962 1.790820 3.014642 5.362329 9.992181 19.264977 40.807727
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.021076 1.719637 2.935501 5.308985 10.086987 19.887093 43.324882
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.008982 1.725015 2.993836 5.522651 10.740060 21.752134 49.029729
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.966594 1.672977 2.943212 5.518446 10.940699 22.660636 52.557925
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.921889 1.613920 2.875473 5.474245 11.051398 23.379629 55.718749
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.847017 1.494812 2.687162 5.171266 10.574999 22.712463 55.194540
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.818110 1.460272 2.658477 5.195069 10.820344 23.747562 59.352283